NBA
NBA Game Projection Calculator
Pick any two teams and a venue. The model projects the score, spread, and total, and shows you exactly where each team holds the edge. Free, no account needed.
Sportsbook Line (optional)
Add the sportsbook line to see how our model compares.
Projections are generated by the NBA Pure Points Margin model using each team's offensive and defensive ratings from 2026-27 games, adjusted for the opponents faced. Early in the season, last season's ratings still carry weight and fade out over each team's first 10 games. Home court advantage is applied automatically based on the selected game location, and is zero for a neutral site. The ratings breakdown matches the Power Rankings page.
Go Deeper
Not every projection is a pick
Our Model's Systems show the NBA model's daily slate, its pick against the opening line on every game, and the results tracked across the whole season.