Pure Points Margin Model
CBB Game Projection Calculator
Pick any two teams. The model projects the score, spread, and total, and shows you exactly where each team holds the edge. Free, no account needed.
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Projections are generated by the college basketball Pure Points Margin model using adjusted offensive and defensive ratings built from every completed game in the current season's data. The ratings breakdown matches the Power Rankings page.
What Powers This Projection
Every projection comes from the Pure Points Margin model, which reads the final score of every game this season. Each team's offense is measured by the points it scored against the defenses it faced, and its defense by the points it allowed against the offenses it faced. A team's projected score blends its own offense with the opponent's defense. This is the same engine behind the tracked results on the Model's Systems page.
Go Deeper
Not every projection is a pick
Our Model's Systems track the specific game conditions where the model's accuracy has been strongest. Tracked across every game of the season to provide you the games with the strongest edge.
